Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.615023 0.697712 0.785939 0.886916 0.999121 1.119804 1.259256
2025-08-31 0.481588 0.594781 0.724511 0.883506 1.072383 1.288818 1.554793
2025-09-07 0.394188 0.526950 0.689481 0.901415 1.168592 1.492191 1.911507
2025-09-14 0.317058 0.457408 0.640371 0.893216 1.229913 1.658749 2.241443
2025-09-21 0.264863 0.410401 0.611516 0.904594 1.314590 1.860623 2.634104
2025-09-28 0.216542 0.359795 0.569244 0.890322 1.360817 2.013965 2.975264
2025-10-05 0.191443 0.338628 0.564883 0.927459 1.480518 2.276015 3.485386
2025-10-12 0.170292 0.319677 0.560412 0.962464 1.598823 2.544224 4.024207
2025-10-19 0.147383 0.293613 0.540549 0.969986 1.674464 2.754069 4.491945
2025-10-26 0.127583 0.269328 0.519755 0.972434 1.740621 2.952622 4.954918
2025-11-02 0.110886 0.247660 0.500082 0.973532 1.803117 3.148207 5.424739
2025-11-09 0.096572 0.227942 0.480890 0.972477 1.860532 3.338056 5.896133
2025-11-16 0.084791 0.211498 0.465938 0.977967 1.930820 3.556133 6.432030
2025-11-23 0.073179 0.193208 0.444794 0.969221 1.974581 3.732426 6.910447
2025-11-30 0.065594 0.182469 0.437211 0.985371 2.064569 3.993506 7.547791
2025-12-07 0.056728 0.166914 0.417285 0.974422 2.102271 4.164813 8.040733
2025-12-14 0.050756 0.157265 0.408667 0.985354 2.182357 4.416513 8.688852
2025-12-21 0.043732 0.143364 0.388409 0.969114 2.206952 4.567709 9.165743
2025-12-28 0.041015 0.140602 0.393592 1.008548 2.346687 4.941478 10.066926
2026-01-04 0.038394 0.137579 0.397694 1.045847 2.484711 5.319944 10.996624
2026-01-11 0.034515 0.129981 0.389374 1.053694 2.561198 5.584217 11.726674
2026-01-18 0.030842 0.122160 0.379308 1.056171 2.626008 5.829015 12.432154
2026-01-25 0.027544 0.114752 0.369189 1.057251 2.687498 6.070326 13.142848